今年4〜6月の実質GDPが，年率-27.8%って過日報道されましたが，バカでしょうか．<\/p>\n\n\n\n
前期比7.8%を1から引いて4回かけてまた1からひくという簡単な計算をすると，このような数字になります（複利計算と同じ．ただし，金利の計算では，一年以下は通常複利計算はしません）．<\/p>\n\n\n\n
一時的な現象を一年間続くと仮定して計算し直す，しかもリニアでなくて，べき乗で．<\/p>\n\n\n\n
大地震で起きた地盤沈下や台風接近による気圧の低下を，そのままの率で一年続くと仮定して計算するようなもんです．<\/p>\n\n\n\n
発表した人たちがバカなのか，発表をそのまま伝えるマスコミが大ばかなのか．<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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